LUNC, the native cryptocurrency that powers the Terra Luna Classic blockchain, was last changing hands near $0.00017 and was just above its 21-Day Moving Average at $0.0001675. Whilst the cryptocurrency is still trading about 14% higher versus its November lows under $0.00015, it has seen a sharp pullback since nearing $0.00019 earlier this month.
Traders have attributed this downside to technical selling after LUNC hit a key area of resistance and price predictions remain bearish. LUNC had been trending higher since June but broke below this uptrend in mid-November.
In early December, LUNC tried to retest and break back above this uptrend but was rejected – the cryptocurrency has been moving lower ever since. Bears are now targeting a retest of recent lows under $0.00015, and many think a break below here could open the door for a drop back to sub $0.00010 level.
Crypto traders who remember LUNC’s pre-Terra ecosystem and pre-LUNC hyperinflation-induced crash often ask whether LUNC can make it back to its glory days. Can LUNC return to $1, some might ask?
Well, given the current LUNC price of around $0.0000165, LUNC would need to post a nearly 600,000% return to do so. Given the current token supply of 5.9912 trillion, if each token was worth $1, that would imply LUNC reaching a market capitalization of $5.9912 trillion.
Almost every sane person would agree that LUNC reaching a market cap this high is never going to happen, especially within the month. Bitcoin currently only has a market cap in the region of $320 billion. And Bitcoin is the most famous, popular and oldest cryptocurrency in the space, while LUNC is the remnant of a now largely defunct ecosystem that has now largely been abandoned by users and developers.
What if LUNC’s token supply is reduced? Seeing as a massive increase in LUNC’s market cap is unlikely, a massive reduction in the token’s supply seems like the only plausible way to boost LUNC back towards $1. Assuming no change in LUNC’s market cap, which was last just under $1 billion, for each LUNC token to be worth $1, the LUNC token supply would need to be reduced from nearly 6 trillion to around 1 billion. That’s a more than 99.98% reduction in token supply.
Given the Luna Community recently voted for a burn tax on transactions of just 0.2%, such a reduction in supply seems implausible. Note that there is still a push within the Luna Classic community to increase the burn tax to 1.2%, but this also wouldn’t likely ever be sufficient to push LUNC to $1.
But of course, in the world of cryptocurrency, you can never say never, so it remains to be seen how the community addresses the high supply of the coin. As ever, it’s an area worth keeping an eye on.
LUNC price outlook doesn’t look great, which is why many traders have begun looking elsewhere for better opportunities. Here is a list of pre-sale altcoins with strong fundamentals offering better, short term and long-term gains.
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